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 <!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.0 20120330//EN" "http://jats.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/1.0/JATS-journalpublishing1.dtd"> <article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.0" xml:lang="en">
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">JAR</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Journal of Agronomy Research</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="epub">2639-3166</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>Open Access Pub</publisher-name>
        <publisher-loc>United States</publisher-loc>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">JAR-19-3097</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.14302/issn.2639-3166.jar-19-3097</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group>
          <subject>research-article </subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Nitrogen Leaching Loss Estimation from Paddy Soil in the Taihu Lake Region of China by a Newly Developed Simple Model</article-title>
        <alt-title alt-title-type="running-head">assessing nitrogen leaching loss by a new simple model jar 2639-3166</alt-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Wen-Ming</surname>
            <given-names>Xie</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="idm1850486404">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="idm1850486116">2</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="idm1850603980">*</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>You</surname>
            <given-names>Ma1 Shi-Jun Li</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="idm1850486404">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Wei-Ming</surname>
            <given-names>Shi</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="idm1850486116">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Hai-Lin</surname>
            <given-names>Zhang</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="idm1850601604">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Fang</surname>
            <given-names>Fang</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="idm1850602252">4</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Han</surname>
            <given-names>Meng</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="idm1850486404">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Guo-Xiang</surname>
            <given-names>Wang</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="idm1850486404">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Li-Min</surname>
            <given-names>Zhang</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="idm1850486404">1</xref>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <aff id="idm1850486404">
        <label>1</label>
        <addr-line>School of Environment, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, 210023, China</addr-line>
      </aff>
      <aff id="idm1850486116">
        <label>2</label>
        <addr-line>State Key Laboratory of Soil and Sustainable Agriculture, Institute of Soil Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing, 210008, China</addr-line>
      </aff>
      <aff id="idm1850601604">
        <label>3</label>
        <addr-line>Department of Plant and Soil Sciences, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK 74078-6028, United States</addr-line>
      </aff>
      <aff id="idm1850602252">
        <label>4</label>
        <addr-line>College of Environment, Hohai University, Nanjing, 210098, China</addr-line>
      </aff>
      <aff id="idm1850603980">
        <label>*</label>
        <addr-line>Corresponding author</addr-line>
      </aff>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="editor">
          <name>
            <surname>Abubaker</surname>
            <given-names>Haroun Mohamed Adam</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="idm1850326060">1</xref>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <aff id="idm1850326060">
        <label>1</label>
        <addr-line>Department of Crop Science (Agronomy), College of Agriculture, Bahri University- Alkadaru- Khartoum -Sudan, Sudan.</addr-line>
      </aff>
      <author-notes>
        <corresp>
    
    Wen-Ming Xie, <addr-line>School of Environment, Nanjing Normal University, </addr-line><addr-line>China</addr-line>,                  Tel/Fax: +<phone>86-25-85891490</phone>, E-mail: <email>wmxie@njnu.edu.cn</email></corresp>
        <fn fn-type="conflict" id="idm1842540644">
          <p>The authors declare that there are no competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.</p>
        </fn>
      </author-notes>
      <pub-date pub-type="epub" iso-8601-date="2019-12-04">
        <day>04</day>
        <month>12</month>
        <year>2019</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>2</volume>
      <issue>3</issue>
      <fpage>19</fpage>
      <lpage>30</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received">
          <day>19</day>
          <month>11</month>
          <year>2019</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="accepted">
          <day>03</day>
          <month>12</month>
          <year>2019</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="online">
          <day>04</day>
          <month>12</month>
          <year>2019</year>
        </date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>© </copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2019</copyright-year>
        <copyright-holder>Wen-Ming Xie, et al.</copyright-holder>
        <license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple">
          <license-p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <self-uri xlink:href="http://openaccesspub.org//jar/article/1218">This article is available from http://openaccesspub.org//jar/article/1218</self-uri>
      <abstract>
        <p>Nitrogen leaching as a direct pathway of N loss from agricultural land can negatively affect groundwater and surface water quality. However, a simple and efficient method for nitrogen leaching loss estimation is still inefficient. In this study, an exponential model was developed using the experimental data from a two-year field experiment conducted in the Taihu Lake region of China to simulate the N leaching from the paddy soil. The results showed the leached N was in the range of 5.66 to 8.45 kg N/ha during the whole rice season, which was accounted for 1.7%-2.1% of the applied N. A good agreement between the measured and model predicted results for N leaching loss was observed, suggesting the validity of the established model. The model was further validated with the data of other studies in other regions. The results demonstrated this model is able to simulate the N leaching loss accurately and can provide a beneficial tool for users to predict N leaching loss in paddy soil.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Nitrogen leaching</kwd>
        <kwd>Taihu Lake region</kwd>
        <kwd>Field experiments</kwd>
        <kwd>Model</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
      <counts>
        <fig-count count="6"/>
        <table-count count="2"/>
        <page-count count="12"/>
      </counts>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="idm1850321812" sec-type="intro">
      <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>Rice is the most important crop in China,               which makes up 43.7% of the national grain               production <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842642276">1</xref>. The Taihu Lake region (TLR) located in the Yangtze River delta is one of the five major rice production regions in China <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842649596">2</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842497116">4</xref>. To achieve high grain yields, farmers in TLR often apply large amount of fertilizers, especially nitrogen (N) fertilizer <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842488876">5</xref>. It is reported that the optimal level of fertilizer N was from 185 kg/ha to 270 kg/ha in TLR, however, the average N fertilizer input was over 350 kg/ha in TLR <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842482108">6</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842471244">7</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842468940">8</xref>. Therefore, excess N in paddy soils will get lost to surrounding water bodies, and result in eutrophication and groundwater contamination in this region <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842466492">9</xref>. </p>
      <p>Leaching is one main pathway of N losses in paddy soil, which normally accounts for 0.1%-4.9% of the applied N <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842456172">10</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842452572">11</xref>. The leached N can increase the groundwater nitrate content significantly and deteriorate the groundwater quality seriously <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842448828">12</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842459916">13</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842430364">14</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842426332">15</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842420788">16</xref>. Therefore, the N leaching in paddy soil should be controlled effectively. However, to control the N leaching, the amount of leached N should be measured first. At the present time, the amount of leached N is estimated with the volume of leachate and the N concentration in leachate at a certain interval (usually at 7 days or                   10 days) during the whole rice growing                            season <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842642276">1</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842419852">17</xref>. Although this method was widely used, it is tedious and time consuming with low efficiency. Therefore, a more efficient method is necessary to overcome those shortcoming. </p>
      <p>Mathematical modeling has been proven to be a powerful tool in predicting N losses <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842401412">18</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842399108">19</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842410484">20</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842405876">21</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842389476">22</xref>. At present, most mathematical models concerned on N leaching from agricultural lands are mainly focused on dryland, such as the Nitrogen Leaching and Economic Analysis Package (NLEAP) program <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842401412">18</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842384004">23</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842378388">24</xref>,                       HYDRUS-1D/2D/3D model <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842377596">25</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842361132">26</xref> and LEACHA/N    model <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842359692">27</xref>. However, the soil physiochemical property of dryland is substantially different from the flooded paddy soils. First, the paddy soil is under                        water-saturated state in most of the growing season while dryland is under water deficient state in most of the time, which affects the N-transformation processes and movement in soil <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842410484">20</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842355156">28</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842352564">29</xref>. Second, the nitrogen amount and forms in leachates are different between dry lands and paddy soil. Ammonium-N (NH<sub>4</sub>-N), NO<sub>3</sub>-N and organic N are the main forms in the leachate of paddy soil while NO<sub>3</sub>-N is the dominant form in dryland leachate <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842642276">1</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842419852">17</xref>. Third, there is a more distinct plow pan in paddy soil, which changes the water downward movement and distinguishes it from dryland <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842355156">28</xref>. Therefore, different model should be developed to simulate the N leaching process in flooded paddy soil.</p>
      <p>Rao et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842347092">30</xref> has developed the NFLOOD model to simulate the N leaching process in paddy soil. Zhao et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842345580">31</xref> used the modified DeNitrification DeComposition (DNDC) model to simulate the N leaching process in paddy soil. However, these models are                 over-parameters. Too many parameters in these models will increase the uncertainty of model results and constrain the application of these models.                       Liang et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842410484">20</xref> has developed a simple model for paddy soil, however, this model has not taken ammonium-N and organic N into consideration in leachate, which will underestimate N leaching loss from paddy soil, since ammonium-N and organic N are important parts of N in leachate, which is accounted for more than 40% of total N <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842642276">1</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842419852">17</xref>. </p>
      <p>Therefore, the objective of this study was to quantify N leaching losses in a paddy soil in TLR for 2 consecutive years. Then, a simple and efficient model as a predictive tool for nitrogen leaching in the TLR was developed and calibrated with additional data. Hopefully, this study can provide an effective tool for N leaching estimation in paddy soil.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="idm1850300596" sec-type="materials">
      <title>Materials and Methods</title>
      <sec id="idm1850300164">
        <title>Study Area and Rice Field Plot Experiment</title>
        <p>The field experiment was conducted at the Yixing city of Jiangsu province near the Taihu Lake (31°16´ N, 119°54´ E) from 2013 <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref>. The area is characterized by a subtropical monsoon climate, with an average temperature of 15.7°C and an annual rainfall of 1177 mm. The paddy soil is consisted by 8.3% sand, 81.5% silt, and 10.2% clay <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref>. The pH of the soil was 5.6. The soil contained 15.4 g/kg organic C, 1.79 g/kg N, and had a cation exchange capacity (CEC) of 11.8 cmol/kg. A summer rice-winter wheat crop rotation has been practiced for over 50 years at the site.</p>
        <p>The experimental plots were arranged randomly with 3 N treatments and 3 replications with individual plot 44 m<sup>2</sup>. The 3 N treatments were as follows: N0 (control, 0 kg N/ha), N1 (220 kg N/ha) and N2 (270 kg N/ha), in which N2 was the local treatment. Urea was used as the source of N with 40% basal applied prior to transplanting, 30% top dress at the tillering stage, and the remaining 30% top dress at the ear differentiation stage. Phosphorous (P) and potassium (K) fertilizers were applied basally in the form of superphosphate at a rate of 60 kg P<sub>2</sub>O<sub>5</sub>/ha and in the form of KCl at a rate of 45 kg K<sub>2</sub>O/ha. All fertilizers were surface applied. Local cultivation and field management practices were adopted <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref>. Floodwater was mostly maintained at a depth of 3 to 5 cm above the ground surface in the field except for the midseason aeration and final drainage periods. The midseason aeration lasted for 7–10 days during the mid-term of rice season when there was no standing water on soil surface. After this, the field was flooded again until the end of rice season when all floodwater was discharged.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="idm1850299804">
        <title>Sampling and Analysis</title>
        <p>Percolation water was collected at 40 cm, 80 cm, and 120 cm soil depth in each N treatment with a vacuum pump at 7-day to 10-day intervals during the rice season as described in Zhao et al <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref> study. After sampling, percolation water sample was immediately frozen without filtering at -20 <sup>o</sup>C in a freezer until analysis. Concentrations of NH<sub>4</sub>-N, NO<sub>3</sub>-N and total N (TN) in water samples were analyzed with a              continuous-flow N analyzer (Skalar, Netherlands).</p>
        <p>The total volume of leached water during the rice season is defined as the rate of surface water vertical percolation (mm/day) × flooded periods (day) × plot area. The average leaching rate of 2 mm/day measured in previous study was adopted in this                  study <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref>. </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="idm1850298868">
        <title>Exponential Model Development</title>
        <p>To minimize the influence of root growth and underground water on N leaching loss calculation, we used the TN concentration of percolation water extracted at 120 cm soil depth for N leaching loss estimation. </p>
        <p>First, the N leaching loss at each sampling time was calculated by Equation (1):</p>
        <p><italic>Ni= vertical leaching rate × sampling time interval ×TN concentration×10</italic><sup><italic>-2</italic></sup>               ……..(1)</p>
        <p>Where <italic>Ni </italic>is N leaching loss (kg N/ha), vertical leaching rate was 2 mm/d, sampling time interval (days), TN concentration (mg/L).</p>
        <p>Then, the N leaching loss ratio of each sampling relative to the cumulative loss was calculated by Equation (2):</p>
        <p>Pi = Ni/<inline-graphic xlink:href="images/image1.jpg" mime-subtype="jpg"/></p>
        <p>                             ….(2)                          </p>
        <p>Where <italic>Pi</italic> is the N leaching loss ratio of each sampling (%), <italic>i</italic> is the sampling times (<italic>i</italic>=1, 2, 3… 15).</p>
        <p>Then, the cumulative N leaching loss ratio up to the <italic>i</italic><sup>th</sup> sampling was calculated by Equation (3):</p>
        <p>
          <italic>Cumulative N leaching loss ratio (%) =</italic>
          <inline-graphic xlink:href="images/image2.jpg" mime-subtype="jpg"/>
        </p>
        <p>
          <italic>…..</italic>
          <italic>(3)</italic>
        </p>
        <p>Where <italic>n</italic> is the total sampling times.</p>
        <p>Finally, an exponential model was fitted to the N leaching process (Equation 4).</p>
        <p><italic>Y=a - b</italic>e<sup><italic>-t/k</italic></sup>               …….(4)</p>
        <p>Where Y is the cumulative N leaching loss ratio, t is the time after basal N fertilizer application (d), a, b and k are constant.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="idm1850280012" sec-type="results">
      <title>Results</title>
      <sec id="idm1850279580">
        <title>Characteristic Variations of N Leaching in Relation to Fertilization and Soil Depth During Rice Season</title>
        <p>With the increase of urea application, N concentrations in leachates were increased significantly (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="idm1842503348">Figure 1</xref>). The NH<sub>4</sub>-N concentration at 40 cm soil depth was increased from 0.3 mg/L to 8.4 mg/L and 7.3 mg/L respectively when 220 kg N/ha and 270 kg N/ha urea were applied. Accordingly, the peaks of NH<sub>4</sub>-N concentration at 80 cm and 120 cm soil depths were 2.6 mg/L, 4.2 mg/L and 2.0 mg/L, 4.9 mg/L respectively at 8 days after urea was applied. The NO<sub>3</sub>-N concentrations at all three soil depths were increased gradually with time, and peaked at 29 days after urea was applied. The highest NO<sub>3</sub>-N concentration in samples collected at 40 cm, 80 cm and 120 cm soil depths were 7.8 mg/L, 10.2 mg/L, 4.8 mg/L with 220 kg N/ha input and 17.0 mg/L, 17.0 mg/L, 13.4 mg/L with 270 kg N/ha input, respectively. The TN concentrations peaked at 7 days and 29 days after urea application. The highest TN concentrations in 40 cm, 80 cm and 120 cm soil depths were 18 mg/L, 11.2 mg/L, 6.2 mg/L respectively with 220 kg N/ha input and 18.9 mg/L, 19.6 mg/L, 10 mg/L with 270 kg N/ha input. The organic N concentrations at 40 cm, 80 cm and 120 cm soil depths were also increased first and then decreased, which accounted             for 25%, 17% and 10% of total N losses on                  average <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842419852">17</xref>. This demonstrates that organic N is an important component in total N, which should be taken into consideration during N leaching modeling and estimating.</p>
        <fig id="idm1842503348">
          <label>Figure 1.</label>
          <caption>
            <title> Variation of N concentrations in percolation water over time from different soil depths from the paddy soil in 2013 rice season (A, B, C without urea; D, E, F with 220 kg N/ha urea; G, H, I with 270 kg N/ha urea). The arrow denotes the time of N fertilization.</title>
          </caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="images/image3.jpg" mime-subtype="jpg"/>
        </fig>
        <p>The N concentrations were generally decreased with the increase of soil depth. The average NH<sub>4</sub>-N concentration was decreased by 0.6 mg/L when soil depth was increased from 40 cm to 120 cm. At the same time, the average NO<sub>3</sub>-N and TN concentrations were decreased about 1.1 mg/L and 2.3 mg/L respectively as the depth increased from 40 cm to 120 cm. The N concentrations of the percolation water collected at 40 cm soil depth varied significantly, while they were stable at 120 cm. The N concentrations in the percolation water showed similar trend in 2013 and 2014 rice season (2013 data not shown).</p>
        <p>The estimation of N leached at 120 cm depth were 5.66 to 8.45 kg N/ha during two rice                     seasons (<xref ref-type="table" rid="idm1842499388">Table 1</xref>), which is consistent with other    studies <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842419852">17</xref>. The results showed N leaching from paddy soil in TLR was not high, which might be attributed to the low permeability of the puddled layer in this region.</p>
        <table-wrap id="idm1842499388">
          <label>Table 1.</label>
          <caption>
            <title> Accumulated leaching of N through percolation water</title>
          </caption>
          <table rules="all" frame="box">
            <tbody>
              <tr>
                <td>Year</td>
                <td>Treatment</td>
                <td>NH<sub>4</sub>-N(kg N/ha)</td>
                <td>NO<sub>3</sub>-N(kg N/ha)</td>
                <td>TN(kg N/ha)</td>
                <td>Loss Percentage (%)</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td>2013</td>
                <td>N0</td>
                <td>1.03±0.8</td>
                <td>1.04±0.62</td>
                <td>2.83±1.81</td>
                <td>-</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td/>
                <td>N1</td>
                <td>2.75±1.27</td>
                <td>3.06±1.38</td>
                <td>6.79±3.82</td>
                <td>1.8</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td/>
                <td>N2</td>
                <td>4.41±2.44</td>
                <td>3.34±2.07</td>
                <td>8.45±3.78</td>
                <td>2.1</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td>2014</td>
                <td>N0</td>
                <td>0.64±0.23</td>
                <td>1.22±0.71</td>
                <td>2.03±1.02</td>
                <td>-</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td/>
                <td>N1</td>
                <td>1.59±0.9</td>
                <td>3.44±1.45</td>
                <td>5.66±2.76</td>
                <td>1.7</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td/>
                <td>N2</td>
                <td>2.88±1.72</td>
                <td>3.59±2.21</td>
                <td>7.04±2.81</td>
                <td>1.9</td>
              </tr>
            </tbody>
          </table>
        </table-wrap>
      </sec>
      <sec id="idm1850273684">
        <title>Model Calibration</title>
        <p>We used the developed model to simulate the N leaching loss from the paddy soil. The N leaching loss data collected in 2013 field experiments was used for model development. </p>
        <p>As shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="idm1842444924">Figure 2</xref>, the N leaching data                   fits well with the exponential model                            (<italic>Y=140.584 -137.325*e^(-t/97.18)</italic>) (<italic>R</italic><sup>2</sup><italic>=0.98</italic>). After basal urea application, the N leaching loss rate decreased with time <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842410484">20</xref>. The initial N leaching loss rate was about 3.3 times of that at the end of rice season. Since the summer rice-winter wheat crop rotation had been practiced for many decades in TLR, the leaching rate was fast in the early rice season and slowed down with time as the subsoil become saturated <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842410484">20</xref>. Two main reasons were responsible for the phenomenon. First, the puddled soil layer is saturated with water and results in low permeability after the field is flooded. Second, rice plants continuously utilize N and reduce N concentration in water subjected to leaching <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842341116">32</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842339028">33</xref>.</p>
        <fig id="idm1842444924">
          <label>Figure 2.</label>
          <caption>
            <title> The measured and simulated cumulative N loss ratio in the 2013 rice growing season</title>
          </caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="images/image4.jpg" mime-subtype="jpg"/>
        </fig>
      </sec>
      <sec id="idm1850242092">
        <title>Model Validation</title>
        <p>We validated the model using the 2014 rice season N leaching loss data. A good agreement between the measured and model predicted results was observed (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="idm1842442980">Figure 3</xref>), suggesting the validity of the established model. </p>
        <fig id="idm1842442980">
          <label>Figure 3.</label>
          <caption>
            <title> Model validation with the 2014 rice growing season N leaching loss data</title>
          </caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="images/image5.jpg" mime-subtype="jpg"/>
        </fig>
        <p>After validation with our data, we further validated the developed model with N leaching loss data from other studies in nearby regions in Jiangsu Province (<xref ref-type="table" rid="idm1842455076">Table 2</xref>). The results showed the difference between the simulated and measured N leaching loss was less than 20% (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="idm1842397500">Figure 4</xref>). </p>
        <table-wrap id="idm1842455076">
          <label>Table 2.</label>
          <caption>
            <title> The N leaching data used for model validation in Jiangsu Province</title>
          </caption>
          <table rules="all" frame="box">
            <tbody>
              <tr>
                <td>Source</td>
                <td>N application rate(kg N/ha)</td>
                <td>Experiment year</td>
                <td>Soil depth (cm)</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td>Zhu et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842364444">35</xref></td>
                <td>N1 (200)N2 (250)N3 (300)</td>
                <td>1996</td>
                <td>90</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td>Tian et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842419852">17</xref></td>
                <td>N1 (180)N2 (255)N3 (330)</td>
                <td>2002-2004</td>
                <td>90</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td>Wang et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842304284">36</xref></td>
                <td>N1 (225)N2 (300)</td>
                <td>2001-2003</td>
                <td>90</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td>Zhang et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842299388">37</xref></td>
                <td>N1 (360)</td>
                <td>2006</td>
                <td>100</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td>Li et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842293628">38</xref></td>
                <td>N1 (220)</td>
                <td>2008</td>
                <td>100</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td>Yu et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842292116">39</xref></td>
                <td>N1 (210)N2 (270)</td>
                <td>2009-2010</td>
                <td>100</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td>Zhao et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842289740">40</xref></td>
                <td>N1 (300)</td>
                <td>2007-2009</td>
                <td>100</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td>Zhao et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref></td>
                <td>N1 (81)N2 (135)N3 (189)N4 (216)N5 (243)N6 (270)</td>
                <td>2011</td>
                <td>100</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td>Chen et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842286212">41</xref></td>
                <td>N1 (200)N2 (270)</td>
                <td>2011</td>
                <td>120</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td>This study</td>
                <td>N1 (220)N2 (270)</td>
                <td>2013-2014</td>
                <td>120</td>
              </tr>
            </tbody>
          </table>
        </table-wrap>
        <fig id="idm1842397500">
          <label>Figure 4.</label>
          <caption>
            <title> Model validation with leaching N loss ratio data from other studies in Jiangsu Province in west of Taihu Lake region</title>
          </caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="images/image6.jpg" mime-subtype="jpg"/>
        </fig>
        <p>We also applied the developed model to simulate the N leaching loss process in other regions (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="idm1842394908">Figure 5</xref>). The simulated N leaching losses only differed the measured data in Wang et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842279516">42</xref> in the range of 3%-49%, with an average of 20.8% (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="idm1842393828">Figure 6</xref>A). Lack of organic N leaching data and different soil property in Wang et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842279516">42</xref> might be the main reason for this deviation. We found our model could simulate the N leaching process well in Shanghai region as well <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842277644">43</xref>. The deviation of measured and simulated N leaching data was in the range of 0.3%-13%, with an average of 6.5% (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="idm1842393828">Figure 6</xref>B). These successful model verifications further demonstrate that the developed model is able to accurately simulate the N loss process in paddy soil.</p>
        <fig id="idm1842394908">
          <label>Figure 5.</label>
          <caption>
            <title> The experiment location of our study and Wang et al. 42 study in  Shanghai (A) and Ye et al. 43 study in Zhejiang Province</title>
          </caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="images/image7.jpg" mime-subtype="jpg"/>
        </fig>
        <fig id="idm1842393828">
          <label>Figure 6.</label>
          <caption>
            <title> Model validation with leaching N loss ratio data from other studies 4243</title>
          </caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="images/image8.jpg" mime-subtype="jpg"/>
        </fig>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="idm1850217468" sec-type="discussion">
      <title>Discussion</title>
      <p>Nitrogen leaching loss is one of the main pathways for N loss in paddy soil <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842710852">3</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842456172">10</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842452572">11</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842430364">14</xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842426332">15</xref>. The leached N can deteriorate the groundwater quality. At the same time, it can also decrease the N fertilizer utilization efficiency. Therefore, it is necessary to monitor the N leaching process and determine the amount of N leached so that better management practices can be identified and promoted. </p>
      <p>Compared with other simple models, such as models developed in Chowdary et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842333124">34</xref> study and Liang et al. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842410484">20</xref> study, our model has the highest accuracy of N leaching loss estimation. But, compared with other professional model, such as De Nitrification De Composition (DNDC) <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ridm1842345580">31</xref>, the accuracy of N leaching loss estimation by our model is a bit lower. However, these models need many essential data, such as daily meteorological data, soil properties and agricultural management practices as input data before simulation. Furthermore, some important parameters related with leaching process should be first calibrated by professional operator during simulation process. All these will increase the use difficulty of these models. Thus, the simple and efficient model developed in this study are welcome by local government and farmers, who don’t need too professional knowledge and skill to calculate the N leaching.  </p>
      <p>Furthermore, the findings of this study can help address two questions regarding N leaching process. Firstly, how is the N leaching rate changed during rice growing season? We found that the N leaching rate was high in the early stage of rice growth. Then, the N leaching rate decreased with time. Thus, in order to reduce the N leaching loss, less N should be applied during the initial planting time. Secondly, how many sampling times are necessary to accurately determine the amount of leached N? High frequency of sampling would increase the accuracy of results, but it consumes too much time and labor. By using the developed model, we found the N leaching loss can be calculated only through 4 times sampling which could reduce the expenses of data collection significantly. This can increase the efficiency of leaching N research in TLR and other regions with similar environmental conditions and management practices.  </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="idm1850217252" sec-type="conclusions">
      <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>In this study, an exponential model was developed to simulate N leaching loss from the paddy soil in the Taihu Lake region (TLR) of China by using the N leaching data from a two-year field experiment. The model was successfully validated with different data from the same region and from nearby regions to accurately simulate N leaching loss. This model is proven to be simple and efficient to predict N loss from paddy soil.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="idm1850214516">
      <title>Acknowledge</title>
      <p>This study was financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51778301), the Key Special Program on the S&amp;T for the Pollution Control (2017ZX07202004), the Postgraduate Research &amp; Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province (KYCX18_1246) and the Special Environmental Research Fund for Public Welfare of the State Environmental Protection Administration of China (201309035).</p>
    </sec>
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